Thur. Delegate Roundup Obama +13, Clinton -1, UPDATED
Thu May 15, 2008 at 06:16:28 PM PDT
OBAMA +13
CLINTON -1
Numbers thread for those just getting to the KOS late, for West-Coast folks who wish to discuss, overseas folks who wish to discuss, and anyone who may have missed the official numbers today.... and everyone else. New Open Thread since original has fallen off the board.
The Rec List :), thanks guys, my third appearance. Although this one was nothing more than a numbers regurgitation... too easy :) Cross-posted on my site too. I've been slacking on my site but will be getting it back rocking. Also looking for some front page regular guest posters. Contact me through my email link on my site if interested.
OBAMA SUPERS
1. WA State Rep. Jim McDermott note: this link from The Page pops up with a print request, just kill it.
The Seattle Congressman told the P-I's Joel Connelly that Obama is his pick because "I am confident as president he will end the war in Iraq and bring our sons and daughters home."
2. Larry Cohen, the President of the Communication Workers of America
"I’m convinced that Senator Obama’s message of hope and ‘change we can believe in’ has resonated across our country. He is building a broad base of support, inspiring new voters to join in the political process and demonstrating great appeal to all those who are looking for positive leadership to move us beyond politics-as-usual in Washington.
3. CA. Rep. Howard Berman
"Barack Obama has laid out a foreign policy vision driven by principle and conviction, and he understands that our moral authority and our safety as a nation go hand in hand,"
4. CA. Rep. Henry Waxman
"Senator Obama’s vision for change has inspired tens of millions of Americans, And he’s also proved that he has the experience, judgment, integrity, and toughness to bring real reform to Washington. Our nation faces big challenges.
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EDWARDS DELEGATES FOR OBAMA
CNN finally listed names
1. Joshua Denton (NH)
2. Mike Evatt (SC)
3. Lauren Bilton (SC)
4. Daniel Boan Kershaw(SC)
5. Machelle Crum (IA)
6. Christine Brennan-Bond (SC)
7. Robert Groce (SC)
8. Susan Smith (SC)
note: John Moylan is an alternate delegate for Edwards, if he's needed he has backed Obama.
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Obama +1 Addition in NC: NC Officials have said Obama will gain an extra delegate and Clinton will lose one due to numbers becoming official and he over performing in an area.
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ADDITIONAL ENDORSEMENT:
United Steelworkers Union – former Edwards backers
"Today, by virtue of a unanimous vote of our International Executive Board, we find ourselves once again in agreement with Senator Edwards, this time with his decision last evening to endorse Senator Barack Obama."
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Clinton ...... uhhh.... well all you need to know is below.
-1 for Clinton who lost one delegate from NC because of misscalculation
This is why her "needed" number went from 308 to 309 on the front page.
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UPDATE: Fellow Kossiack PocketNines has some great analysis.
2025 scenario:
1600.5 Obama earned on own (incl NC adjust, not MD douche)
8 Edwards so far
47 night of May 20
15 bare minimum in PR
9 Montana lock
8 South Dakota lock
= 1687.5 total, 1627 is majority pledged
(Has 291.5 supers, for grand total of 1979, 1985 with Pelosi Club.)
2209 scenario:
1687.5 from above
67 Florida, worst case (already selected, named)
31 Michigan, worst case (already selected, named)
= 1785.5 total, 1783.5 is majority pledged
(Has 291.5 supers +8 from MI/FL, for grand total of 2085 absolute worst case, 2091 with Pelosi Club.)
Note that 31 from Michigan is the single worst case conceivable. Obama got 31 of the 36 uncommitted CD-level delegates, with 19 statewide uncommitted still TBD on June 14 if no deal is reached before then.
The significance of the 8 Edwards switches (and the NC adjustment), is Obama's locked into results in the remaining 5 contests over the next 19 days that mean he cannot fail to get the majority of pledged delegates under every single scenario the Clintons want to pretend is real.
Check out the rest of the virtual scenario here and further analysis here
Obama had a great net gain on Friday, while this one didn't top in the "super" catagory, it toped in the "net gain" outside of a primary or caucus. I've been expecting another big day on Friday as we had last week. Let's hope we get more than 4 or 5 drop tomorrow. We know we got some coming on Sat-Add-ons. Can't wait till next Tuesday.
A big thank you to John Edwards!